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Box Office Thread 2013
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Bob Morris



Joined: 01 Aug 2006
Posts: 2883
Location: New Mexico

PostPosted: Mon Feb 03, 2014 2:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

You can already see Disney priming for a sequel. :)

Gravity got a re-release in IMAX theaters and is now adding to its already good tally.

It's been one of the bigger years as far as late fall releases go.
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jdw
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Joined: 01 Sep 2005
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 10, 2014 7:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Throwing this in 2013 since that's the year it came out:

$368,637,437 Frozen
$368,061,265 Despicable Me 2
$268,492,764 Monsters University
$187,168,425 The Croods
$119,275,862 Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2
$107,518,682 Epic

Frozen is Disney's first animated champ since 2000:

http://www.otherarena.com/phpbb/viewtopic.php?t=2045&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=71

2000 - $137,748,063 - Dinosaur (Disney)
2000 - $106,834,564 - Chicken Run (Dream Works)

Which was a "down" year for animation.

Ignoring the Winnie the Pooh re-make (which bombed), Disney is on a bit of a roll in rebuilding up their own shop next to Pixar:

$415,004,880 Toy Story 3 (Pixar - 06/18/10)
$200,821,936 Tangled (Disney - 11/24/10)

$191,452,396 Cars 2 (Pixar - 06/24/11)
$26,692,846 Winnie the Pooh (Disney - 07/15/11)

$237,283,207 Brave (Pixar - 06/12/12)
$189,422,889 Wreck-It Ralph (Disney - 11/02/12)

$268,492,764 Monsters University (Pixar - 06/21/13)
$368,637,437 Frozen (Disney - 11/22/13)

Toy Story 3 is hard to top, and Pooh was a bomb... but the rest are pretty fair showings by Disney. Frozen also got an Oscar nomination for Best Animated Film... while Monsters joins Cars 2 in being the Pixar movies that failed to get nominated (9 have, with 7 winning).
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jdw
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PostPosted: Tue Feb 18, 2014 12:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Frozen pulled in $8M on the holiday weekend, up to $378M. It' had just a -9.5% drop Fri-Sun. There are still movies released after it that are dropping behind it on the weekend charts, and they're bleeding theaters quicker. Frozen is still in 2,101 theaters, so it had a long ways to drop to 0 (unless it gets a quick pull). Unless it has a locked in DVD date they can't avoid, this looks like one they'll leave out to get to $400M. It's pulling in $8M a week, which it will likely get against this week due to the big Monday. $22M looks to be well within reach.

John
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Bob Morris



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Location: New Mexico

PostPosted: Sun Feb 23, 2014 9:06 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Catching Fire has a first-week-of-March DVD release and it was pulled from theaters a couple of weeks ago.

Frozen is scheduled for a March 18 DVD release date. It's possible Disney delays it, but it's also possible Frozen's theater count takes a hit when Mr. Peabody and Sherman comes out. Between that being an animated flick and getting a nationwide release, means Frozen has two competitors for its audience (Lego Movie is the other).

But I can definitely see Frozen sticking around through this coming weekend, given that there are no nationwide releases and the competition for its audience will only be from Lego.

Mojo's weekend estimates would put Frozen around $384 million. It looks like it will be a $390 million flick, but $400 million might be harder to reach.

Still a very impressive run, though.
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jdw
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 24, 2014 2:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Catching Fire is still in the theaters:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=catchingfire.htm

Just passed Pirates 2 getting into the Top 10. It was down to 240 on a weekend it made $319K... which is a heck of a lot below the $4.5M that Frozen pulled in.

It's strange to see it yankeed. It made $9.5M last week (Fri-Thu), and only was -29.3% this weekend. It won't match that $9.5M due to Presidents Day being a $1.8M day alone, but it's going to be a $6M week.

Toy Story 3 had a Nov 2, 2010 while it was still in the theaters:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekly&id=toystory3.htm

Looks like it was in the theaters until Dec 2.

Same goes with Despicable Me 2:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekly&id=despicableme2.htm

DVD release date: Dec 10, 2013
Theaters through: Jan 16, 2014

I think the key for Frozen to get to $400M is how far it gets before the DVD release. It was still the 8th biggest movie last weekend (same as the week before), in 1900 theaters, and Ride Along is going to slip below it this week (though of course something new will come out and be ahead of it). About Last Night dropped like a massive rock. If you're a theater owner, Frozen still looks like a pretty safe movie to give a screen to.

I think it's going to be closing in on $390M by the end of the coming weekend. Not there, but close. Once it gets to $390M and it stays on "pace" to get to $400M, I'd expect Disney to want to keep it out to get there. $400M is a huge mark for animation: Shrek 2, Toy Story 3... and that's it. This would be the first non-Pixar and non-Dreamworks movie to get there. You have to think that the Disney Animation folks flat out want to make there bones by getting there, especially since Big Brother Pixar has long been the King of Animation.

Also... it's up for the Animation Oscar. If it wins, that buys it a bit more time, and often a mini-bump.
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jdw
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PostPosted: Mon Mar 03, 2014 5:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Frozen popped $3,631,640, down just -17.5%. It also won the Best Animated Film. It's up to $388,756,783. Just under $11.3M to $300M. I'm thinking it's going to get there at this point.
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jdw
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 5:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Frozen cracked $390M on Thursday. Off the Oscar win, it's down only 86 theaters (-4.9%) to 1,660. That's an incredibly small number to drop at this point. My guess is it's Push to $400M time for them.

John
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jdw
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PostPosted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 1:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Despite Peabody coming out and Lego still going strong, Frozen was only down -18.6%. Just a shade under $393M now. I think they can taste $400M now. :)

John
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jdw
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PostPosted: Mon Mar 17, 2014 4:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Over $396M on the weekend for Frozen, and a stunning $1B+ world wide. It's the first animated movie to get to $1B. Wow.
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Bob Morris



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PostPosted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 7:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nothing in yet on Friday's numbers, but assuming the drop is similar to last week's, Frozen should pass $399 million, meaning it will join the ranks of $400 million franchises.

Assuming Catching Fire stays in the few remaining theaters that ran it, it could make it just past $425 million.
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jdw
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 9:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Back-to-back years of three $400M+ movies. 2012 was the first time it happened, and now it happened again.
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jdw
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 9:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Friday estimate is a massive drop down to $162K. Lego also had a massive Friday drop. Both would make sense if Muppets did a big opening, but not sure what it means.

It does slow down what looked like a quick path to $400M, but it will plug away at it.
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Bob Morris



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PostPosted: Sun Mar 23, 2014 8:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Has Frozen come out on Netflix and other such services? If so, that might explain it. I know it's out on DVD.
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jdw
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PostPosted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 1:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Looks like around just $750K this weekend for Frozen. That said, it's only about $2.25M short of $400M. Still should make it, just a bit of a limp there though. It will hurt it when it comes to retaining theaters.
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jdw
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 30, 2014 12:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

About $350K for Frozen, getting close to $398.5M. It's cutting close to $400M. Wreck-It Ralph had about $2M left in the tank at this point, but Frozen is falling off it's pace. The difference is there wasn't a reason to keep Ralph out to reach a milestone. You could see Frozen being left out there for a bit longer if it's a couple hundred K away.
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